‘Almost no way this claim is remotely true’: Economics expert dismantles Trump’s math

Wall Avenue Journal chief economics correspondent Nick Timiraos rapidly noticed the flaw in President Donald Trump’s Wednesday rant in opposition to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s refusal to decrease rates of interest.

“Housing in our Nation is lagging as a result of Jerome ‘Too Late’ Powell refuses to decrease Curiosity Charges,” Trump stated in a put up on Fact Social. “… Our charge needs to be three factors decrease than they’re, saving us $1 trillion per 12 months (as a rustic). This cussed man on the Fed simply doesn’t get it — By no means did, and by no means will. The Board ought to act, however they don’t have the braveness to take action!”

Timiraos identified a obvious truth concerning the probability of curiosity bills falling by $1 trillion per 12 months.

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“The U.S. spent $1.1 trillion on curiosity bills in 2024, and so there’s virtually no method this declare is remotely true,” stated Timiraos on X.

Timiraos went on to put up that Trump’s personal Council of Financial Advisers chair final 12 months voiced issues that decrease mortgage charges would possibly stoke housing prices together with hire, mortgages, property taxes and utilities.

“Okay, however what occurs if decrease mortgage charges begin pushing house costs and rents again up?” CEA Chair Stephen Miran posted in January 2024.

Timiraos didn’t depart his remark hanging on X with out follow-up, nonetheless. When a critic claiming to be a “macro investor” argued that curiosity bills “would fall by $1 trillion” if Trump received charges to close zero Timiraos responded by quote-posting a solution X proprietor Elon Musk’s “Grok” chatbot wrote saying the critic’s declare “overstates actuality.”

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Like his declare on rates of interest, Trump has resorted to fuzzy math up to now. Economists routinely dismiss Trump’s description of tariffs as a tax on overseas nations, and should remind the studying public that his risk to hit locations like Brazil with a 50 p.c tariff on all imported items will probably damage on a regular basis People excess of the Brazilian authorities.