Dividend Kings In Focus: Dover Corporation – Sure Dividend

Up to date on October twenty sixth, 2024 by Felix Martinez

The Dividend Kings include firms which have raised their dividends for at the very least 50 years in a row. Over the a long time, many of those firms have turn out to be large multinational companies, however not all.

You possibly can see the complete listing of all 53 Dividend Kings right here.

We created a full listing of all Dividend Kings, together with vital monetary metrics like price-to-earnings ratios and dividend yields. You possibly can obtain your copy of the Dividend Kings listing by clicking on the hyperlink beneath:

Dover Company (DOV) has raised its dividend for 68 consecutive years, one of many longest dividend progress streaks within the inventory market.

The corporate has achieved an distinctive dividend progress report due to its robust enterprise mannequin, respectable resilience to recessions, and conservative payout ratio, which offers a large margin of security throughout recessions.

Dover is a time-tested dividend progress firm. This text will study its future prospects in higher element.

Enterprise Overview

Dover is a diversified world industrial producer that gives its clients tools and elements, consumable provides, aftermarket components, software program, and digital options.

It has annual revenues of about $8.4 billion, with simply over half of its revenues generated within the U.S., and operates in 5 segments: Engineered Programs, Fueling Options, Pumps & Course of Options, Imaging & Identification, and Refrigeration & Meals Tools.

The previous few years have been troublesome for Dover, because the coronavirus pandemic triggered a chronic enterprise deterioration. As its clients are primarily industrial producers, they had been considerably impacted by the worldwide recession brought on by the pandemic.

Nonetheless, Dover and its clients rebounded from the pandemic, and Dover is again to progress.

Supply: Investor Presentation

Dover Company reported its monetary outcomes for Q3 2024, highlighting regular income progress regardless of financial challenges. Income rose by 1% to $2.0 billion in comparison with the identical interval in 2023, whereas GAAP earnings from persevering with operations elevated by 19% to $313 million, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) from persevering with operations up 22% to $2.26. Adjusted earnings reached $314 million, a 4% enhance, with adjusted diluted EPS up 6% at $2.27. Dover’s efficiency displays robust demand in sectors equivalent to clear power, biopharma, and CO2 refrigeration techniques, offsetting weaknesses in European warmth pump elements and different divisions.

12 months-to-date outcomes additionally confirmed resilience, with income for the 9 months ending September 30, 2024, up by 1% at $5.8 billion. GAAP earnings from persevering with operations surged by 69% to $1.2 billion, and diluted EPS climbed 72% to $8.37. Adjusted earnings reached $846 million, a 4% enhance, with adjusted diluted EPS at $6.09, up by 5%. Dover’s continued operational efficiencies and strategic divestitures, significantly the latest sale of its Environmental Options Group, have positioned the corporate to capitalize on progress alternatives whereas decreasing publicity to cyclical capital items sectors.

Trying forward, Dover’s administration stays optimistic, projecting GAAP EPS for the complete yr 2024 within the vary of $10.11 to $10.21, and adjusted EPS between $8.08 and $8.18, with anticipated income progress of 1% to three%. CEO Richard J. Tobin emphasised the corporate’s concentrate on progress platforms, strategic investments, and enhancing margins, pushed by order backlogs in high-demand markets and ongoing portfolio optimization. The latest divestiture additional helps Dover’s growth in high-growth, high-margin areas whereas offering capital for future investments.

Progress Prospects

Dover has pursued progress by increasing its buyer base and thru bolt-on acquisitions. It routinely executes a collection of bolt-on acquisitions, together with an occasional divestment, to reshape its portfolio and maximize its long-term progress.

Supply: Investor Presentation

The administration group is continually targeted on delivering probably the most worth to shareholders by portfolio transformation, and it has usually been profitable. Right this moment, Dover is a extremely diversified industrial firm with a horny progress profile.

As well as, Dover can also be more likely to improve its earnings per share through opportunistic share repurchases. We count on Dover to generate annual earnings-per-share progress of 8% over the subsequent 5 years. Progress must be pushed primarily by income will increase, with an extra enhance from margin growth and share repurchases.

Aggressive Benefits & Recession Efficiency

Dover is a producer of business tools, and a few traders might imagine that the corporate has no moat in its enterprise on account of little room for differentiation. Nonetheless, the corporate affords extremely engineered merchandise, that are crucial to its clients. It is usually uneconomical for its clients to modify to a different provider as a result of the chance of decrease efficiency is materials.

Due to this fact, Dover basically operates in area of interest markets, which provide the corporate a major aggressive benefit. This aggressive benefit helps clarify Dover’s constant long-term progress trajectory.

Alternatively, Dover is weak to recessions on account of its reliance on industrial clients. Within the Nice Recession, its earnings per share had been as follows:

2007 earnings-per-share of $3.22
2008 earnings-per-share of $3.67 (14% enhance)
2009 earnings-per-share of $2.00 (45% decline)
2010 earnings-per-share of $3.48 (74% enhance)

Dover survived the Nice Recession with only one yr of decline in earnings per share, and the corporate nearly absolutely recovered from the recession in 2010. That efficiency was definitely spectacular. The oil trade’s downturn additionally impacts Dover during times of weak oil costs.

To mitigate its publicity to grease costs, Dover spun off its power division, Apergy, in 2018. This firm now trades as ChampionX Company (CHX).

Given the affect of recessions and falling oil costs, it’s extremely spectacular that Dover has elevated its dividend annually for over six a long time. One purpose for that is the corporate’s coverage of protecting its payout ratio round 30%. This coverage offers a large margin of security throughout tough financial durations. The payout ratio is anticipated to be round 22% of earnings-per-share for 2024, which means the dividend is very safe.

Because of its low payout ratio, resilience to recessions, and wholesome stability sheet, Dover ought to proceed to lift its dividend for a few years.

Valuation & Anticipated Returns

Dover is anticipated to generate earnings-per-share of $9.13 for 2024. Meaning the inventory trades for a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.6 occasions this yr’s anticipated EPS, which is above the truthful worth estimate of 17. That suggests a -4.0% annual headwind to whole returns from valuation compression.

Including 8% anticipated annual earnings-per-share progress and the 1.1% dividend yield, whole returns are anticipated to succeed in 5.1%. This places Dover inventory within the maintain ranking territory.

Remaining Ideas

Dover has an extended dividend progress report, with 68 consecutive years of dividend raises. That is a powerful achievement, significantly given the dependence of the corporate on industrial clients, who are inclined to wrestle throughout recessions.

Dover has constantly grown its earnings per share over time, primarily due to a collection of bolt-on acquisitions. As a result of firm’s income and earnings progress, the inventory has generated robust whole returns to shareholders.

Dover inventory at the moment has a maintain ranking with its 5.1%+ projected whole returns.

The next articles include shares with very lengthy dividend or company histories, ripe for choice for dividend progress traders:

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