Can anyone join Musk in the trillionaire club? Zuckerberg has best shot, according to prediction markets

Elon Musk grew to become the world’s first trillionaire because of his stake in SpaceX after the corporate’s public debut on June 12. Prediction market merchants assume that Mark Zuckerberg has the most effective probability of being subsequent, however it’s nonetheless an extended shot.

Speculators on Kalshi give the Meta CEO a 32% probability of turning into the world’s second trillionaire. His web value is estimated at slightly below $200 billion, based on Forbes, which Kalshi makes use of to find out whether or not to resolve the contract to “sure” or “no.” Meaning his web value must quadruple to earn the title.

The contracts on Kalshi associated to the query additionally expire by 2033, that means if the individual listed on the contract does not turn into the second trillionaire by that time the contract will shut. Kalshi’s occasion contracts associated to the query additionally presently have low quantity, with simply over $7,500 traded.

Merchants on the platform give Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang the following finest odds, with 21% probability of acquiring a 13-digit web value. His present web value based on Forbes is slightly north of $180 billion. 

Nobody else is seen as having a greater than 10% probability of turning into the second trillionaire. Michael Dell, CEO of Dell Applied sciences, has the third finest possibilities, at 6%. That is regardless of his present web value, $240 billion, being better than that of Zuckerberg or Huang’s.

Regardless of the low odds from prediction market merchants, multiple trillionaire could also be within the pipeline, if earlier analysis is to be believed. An Oxfam report from January 2025 estimated that inside a decade there could be 5 trillionaires. 

Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a industrial relationship that features buyer acquisition and a minority funding.