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Commonplace Chartered predicts that crypto market chief Bitcoin (BTC) will soar to $135K by the top of Q3 2025, and go on to hit $200K by the top of the 12 months after breaking out of its halving cycle.
“Due to elevated investor flows, we imagine BTC has moved past the earlier dynamic whereby costs fell 18 months after a ‘halving’ cycle,” wrote Commonplace Chartered’s head of digital asset analysis, Geoff Kendrick, in a report at the moment.
New Market Drivers May Push The Bitcoin Worth Larger
Kendrick went on to say that Bitcoin has damaged out of its previous 18-month halving cycle given there are actually market drivers, similar to spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) and public corporations including BTC to their stability sheets, that weren’t current throughout previous Bitcoin halvings.
“We count on costs to renew their uptrend, supported by continued sturdy ETF and Bitcoin treasury shopping for,” the analyst wrote.
🚀 STANDARD CHARTERED SEES #BITCOIN HITTING $200K THIS YEAR
$135K IN Q3.
$200K BY YEAR-END.
WHAT DO YOU THINK?
IS $200K POSSIBLE FOR $BTC IN 2025?
👇👇👇 pic.twitter.com/CXCsbop4rd
— Kyle Chassé / DD🐸 (@kyle_chasse) July 2, 2025
Nonetheless, Commonplace Chartered has not fully dominated out the potential for some uneven Bitcoin value motion in Q3 and This autumn.
If historical past have been to repeat and BTC’s 4-year halving cycle play out, it might result in a decline out there chief’s value round September or October, Kendrick mentioned.
Bitcoin Treasury Firms Will Purchase Extra BTC In Q3 Than They Did In Q2, Says Commonplace Chartered
Spot Bitcoin ETFs and BTC treasury corporations purchased 245,000 BTC within the second quarter this 12 months, based on Kendrick. He predicted that this determine can be topped in each Q3 and This autumn as new market entrants begin to observe Technique’s leveraged Bitcoin shopping for playbook.
He famous that BTC shopping for from Technique, which is at the moment the most important company Bitcoin holder, has slowed in current months, however predicted that non-Technique corporations will “take up any slack in Q3.”
“Because of this, we count on Bitcoin treasuries as an entire to purchase extra BTC in Q3 than they did in Q2 — a constructive driver of flows,” he mentioned.
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