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Estee Lauder (EL) Earnings Preview: Sales and earnings anticipated to see a pickup in Q1 2026 | AlphaStreet

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Shares of the Estée Lauder Firms Inc. (NYSE: EL) had been up over 2% on Friday. The inventory has gained 12% over the previous three months. The sweetness merchandise firm is slated to report its earnings outcomes for the primary quarter of 2026 on Thursday, October 30, earlier than market open. Right here’s a have a look at what to anticipate from the earnings report:

Income

Analysts are projecting income of $3.38 billion for Estee Lauder within the first quarter of 2026, which factors to a slight uptick from $3.36 billion reported in the identical interval a yr in the past. Within the fourth quarter of 2025, web gross sales decreased 12% year-over-year to $3.41 billion.

Earnings

The consensus estimate for earnings per share in Q1 2026 is $0.17, which suggests a rise of 21% from the prior-year quarter. In This fall 2025, adjusted EPS fell 85% YoY to $0.09.

Factors to notice

Estee Lauder expects natural web gross sales for the primary quarter of 2026 to be down low-single digits to barely optimistic, which displays high-single-digit progress within the world journey retail enterprise. The corporate additionally anticipates a return to stable progress in Mainland China and a extra reasonable decline within the the rest of its enterprise. Within the fourth quarter, natural gross sales decreased 13% YoY, with declines throughout all classes and areas.

As a part of its Magnificence Reimagined technique, EL is revamping its portfolio and specializing in alternatives that may ship the best returns over the medium to long run. The corporate is engaged on gaining traction in high-growth rising markets the place it sees vital potential to drive gross sales. One other key space of focus is product innovation. The cosmetics maker goals for innovation to characterize over 25% of gross sales in fiscal yr 2026. These efforts could have yielded some advantages within the first quarter.  

EL is anticipated to proceed to learn from its Revenue Restoration and Progress Plan (PRGP) efforts, that are anticipated to assist drive margin enlargement via fiscal yr 2026.

Estee Lauder has made adjustments to its phase reporting, and from the primary quarter of 2026, plans to report its outcomes underneath 4 new geographic areas – the Americas, EUKEM, Asia/Pacific, and Mainland China. The Americas will embrace North America and Latin America, whereas EUKEM includes Europe, the UK and Eire and Rising Markets.



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